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The Mortgage Advisory

The Advisory Report ·

Are home prices still rising, and what does it mean for your equity?

The short answer

Yes, but slowly. In the first Advisory Report from The Mortgage Advisory: the U.S. median existing-home price was $417,500 in September, up 1.3% from a year earlier, while Orange County and San Diego rose 5% to 6.5%. Homeowners now hold about $11.7 trillion in equity they could borrow against.

This week in numbers

Median existing-home price, U.S.
$417,500
Up 1.3% from a year earlier. Sales ran at a 3.99 million yearly pace, with 4.8 months of supply.
Source: National Association of Realtors (September 2026)
Median single-family price, Orange County
$1.47M
Anaheim–Santa Ana–Irvine, up 5.0% in a year. San Diego: $1,075,000 (up 6.5%). Los Angeles: $958,500 (up 0.5%).
Source: National Association of Realtors, metro prices (Q3 2026)
Tappable home equity
$11.7T
Held by 47.5 million U.S. mortgage holders, about $212,000 each, while keeping 20% equity in the home.
Source: ICE Mortgage Monitor (Q2 2026)
Median age of first-time buyers
40
Tied for the oldest on record. First-time buyers made up 22% of purchases; repeat buyers' median age was 62.
Source: NAR 2026 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers (November 2026)
How long sellers stayed in their home
12 years
The typical seller owned for 12 years before selling, which is a big reason so much equity has built up.
Source: NAR 2026 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers (November 2026)

Are home prices still going up?

Yes, just slowly. The typical home that sold in the U.S. in September went for $417,500, up 1.3% from a year earlier. Sales picked up a little from August, and there were 4.8 months of homes for sale. That's more choice than buyers have had in years, but still short of the roughly six months most people call a balanced market.

So prices aren't falling across the country. They're growing more slowly than the big jumps of a few years ago.

How are prices doing where we lend?

It depends a lot on the neighborhood. In Southern California, prices kept climbing in the third quarter:

Area Median single-family price Change in a year
Orange County (Anaheim–Santa Ana–Irvine) $1,470,000 +5.0%
San Diego–Carlsbad $1,075,000 +6.5%
Los Angeles–Long Beach–Glendale $958,500 +0.5%

Prices rose in 78% of the metro areas NAR tracks, and NAR says nearly all Florida markets showed gains this quarter after a year of declines in many of them.

Why are first-time buyers waiting until 40?

The typical first-time buyer is now 40 years old, tied for the oldest on record, and first-time buyers made up only 22% of purchases. Higher prices, rent, and saving for a down payment all add up. Many buyers don't realize that "first-time buyer" programs often count anyone who hasn't owned a home in the past three years, and that down payment help exists in all four of our states.

What does this mean for you?

If you own your home: Your equity has probably grown, even with slower price gains. Homeowners hold about $11.7 trillion they could borrow against while keeping 20% equity. If you have a low first-mortgage rate, a HELOC can let you use some of that equity without giving up the rate. See how much a HELOC could unlock, or check your Life Rate if you're also carrying high-interest debt.

If you're buying: More homes for sale means more room to negotiate on price, repairs, or closing costs. Start with how much house you can afford and down payment help in CA, TX, FL, and CO.

If you're 62 or older: Rising home values raise the amount a reverse mortgage can provide, up to the HUD limit. If you'd like to keep a low-rate first mortgage, there are reverse mortgage options that keep it. Our free reverse mortgage calculator gives you a quick estimate.

If you invest in rentals: Equity in a rental you already own can fund the next one. A DSCR cash-out refinance qualifies on the property's rent instead of your tax returns. Take the 2-minute investor quiz to see which loans fit.

Our take

I've been doing this for more than 25 years, and the headlines make it sound like the market is either booming or crashing. Right now it's neither. Prices are inching up, buyers have more choices, and most of my clients who've owned for 10 years or more are sitting on more equity than they realize. You don't need to time the market. You need to know your own numbers: what your home is worth, what you owe, and what that equity could do for you. That's a 15-minute conversation, and it's free.

What to watch next

  • 2027 loan limits: The new conforming loan limit and the 2027 HECM reverse mortgage limit are usually announced in late November or December. Higher limits mean more people can use a standard loan or get more from a reverse mortgage.
  • October home sales: NAR's next existing-home sales report comes out later this month. We'll break it down in the first edition after it's released.

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Is Your Home a Hidden Pension? Reverse Mortgage Facts for Homeowners 62+

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Free 45-minute live webinar with mortgage banker Ace Ausar: how a reverse mortgage (HECM) works, what it costs, the common myths, and who it fits. Facts first, no sales pitch, live Q&A at the end.

Educational event; attending doesn't obligate you to apply for a loan. This material has not been reviewed, approved, or issued by HUD, FHA, or any government agency.

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Sources

Ace Ausar

Ace Ausar, Mortgage Banker · NMLS #1143018

The Mortgage Advisory, Inc. · NMLS #1549739

Reviewed by Ace Ausar, NMLS #1143018 · Updated

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